Recent meteorological model consensus for São Paulo on August 11 points to a maximum near 16–17°C under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, with limited moisture advection and stable high pressure maintaining mild conditions. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, local wind patterns affecting urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spread in daytime heating rates. Historical August baselines average 23–25°C, yet current cooler guidance reflects recent high-pressure reinforcement and reduced insolation. Traders weigh the next model runs and official INMET updates, which could shift probabilities if advection or cloud cover deviates from projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 11?
17°C 40%
16°C 34%
18°C 16%
15°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
34%
17°C
40%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 40%
16°C 34%
18°C 16%
15°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
11°C or below
$227 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$234 Vol.
1%
14°C
$201 Vol.
2%
15°C
$673 Vol.
14%
16°C
$644 Vol.
34%
17°C
$612 Vol.
40%
18°C
$789 Vol.
16%
19°C
$220 Vol.
2%
20°C
$217 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$394 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus for São Paulo on August 11 points to a maximum near 16–17°C under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, with limited moisture advection and stable high pressure maintaining mild conditions. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, local wind patterns affecting urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spread in daytime heating rates. Historical August baselines average 23–25°C, yet current cooler guidance reflects recent high-pressure reinforcement and reduced insolation. Traders weigh the next model runs and official INMET updates, which could shift probabilities if advection or cloud cover deviates from projections.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,453Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus for São Paulo on August 11 points to a maximum near 16–17°C under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, with limited moisture advection and stable high pressure maintaining mild conditions. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, local wind patterns affecting urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spread in daytime heating rates. Historical August baselines average 23–25°C, yet current cooler guidance reflects recent high-pressure reinforcement and reduced insolation. Traders weigh the next model runs and official INMET updates, which could shift probabilities if advection or cloud cover deviates from projections.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,453Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus for São Paulo on August 11 points to a maximum near 16–17°C under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, with limited moisture advection and stable high pressure maintaining mild conditions. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, local wind patterns affecting urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spread in daytime heating rates. Historical August baselines average 23–25°C, yet current cooler guidance reflects recent high-pressure reinforcement and reduced insolation. Traders weigh the next model runs and official INMET updates, which could shift probabilities if advection or cloud cover deviates from projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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