Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 12 indicate daytime maxima near 23–24°C under mild winter conditions typical of the Southern Hemisphere's cool season, with a weak trough promoting warm advection. Historical climatology places August averages at 23–25°C, and recent model consensus from agencies aligns closely with this range, supporting trader emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Stable high-pressure influences and absence of strong cold fronts or heat advection keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s, with limited upside risk from unusual warming. Updated observational data and short-range model runs will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
25°C 33%
24°C 30%
26°C 22%
23°C 7%
BARU
$19,675 Vol.
BARU
$19,675 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
30%
25°C
33%
26°C
22%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
24°C 30%
26°C 22%
23°C 7%
BARU
$19,675 Vol.
BARU
$19,675 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,420 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,382 Vol.
4%
23°C
$4,612 Vol.
7%
24°C
$3,293 Vol.
30%
25°C
$1,237 Vol.
33%
26°C
$1,265 Vol.
22%
27°C
$745 Vol.
1%
28°C
$516 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$3,151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 12 indicate daytime maxima near 23–24°C under mild winter conditions typical of the Southern Hemisphere's cool season, with a weak trough promoting warm advection. Historical climatology places August averages at 23–25°C, and recent model consensus from agencies aligns closely with this range, supporting trader emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Stable high-pressure influences and absence of strong cold fronts or heat advection keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s, with limited upside risk from unusual warming. Updated observational data and short-range model runs will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$19,675Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 12 indicate daytime maxima near 23–24°C under mild winter conditions typical of the Southern Hemisphere's cool season, with a weak trough promoting warm advection. Historical climatology places August averages at 23–25°C, and recent model consensus from agencies aligns closely with this range, supporting trader emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Stable high-pressure influences and absence of strong cold fronts or heat advection keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s, with limited upside risk from unusual warming. Updated observational data and short-range model runs will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,675Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for São Paulo on August 12 indicate daytime maxima near 23–24°C under mild winter conditions typical of the Southern Hemisphere's cool season, with a weak trough promoting warm advection. Historical climatology places August averages at 23–25°C, and recent model consensus from agencies aligns closely with this range, supporting trader emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Stable high-pressure influences and absence of strong cold fronts or heat advection keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s, with limited upside risk from unusual warming. Updated observational data and short-range model runs will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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