Recent short-term forecasts from models including those referenced by international agencies align closely with Mexico City's August climatological average high of 24°C, positioning that outcome as the market leader amid typical rainy-season conditions with afternoon convection and moderate humidity. Ensemble guidance points to daytime maxima near 24–25°C on August 10, influenced by persistent subtropical ridging and urban heat-island effects, while cloud cover and scattered showers introduce minor downward variability. This consensus, backed by recent observational trends showing no significant departures from baseline, underpins trader weighting toward the narrow 23–25°C range ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 10?
24°C 45%
25°C 26%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
22%
24°C
45%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
25°C 26%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
22%
24°C
45%
25°C
26%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from models including those referenced by international agencies align closely with Mexico City's August climatological average high of 24°C, positioning that outcome as the market leader amid typical rainy-season conditions with afternoon convection and moderate humidity. Ensemble guidance points to daytime maxima near 24–25°C on August 10, influenced by persistent subtropical ridging and urban heat-island effects, while cloud cover and scattered showers introduce minor downward variability. This consensus, backed by recent observational trends showing no significant departures from baseline, underpins trader weighting toward the narrow 23–25°C range ahead of official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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