Tokyo's mid-August climate typically features overnight lows averaging 23–24°C, driven by high humidity, urban heat retention, and the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system. Current JMA forecasts for August 11 indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling overnight and support minimum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 23.8°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation from this baseline, with no incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or unusual atmospheric patterns expected to push readings substantially lower or higher. Traders have concentrated probability on 22–24°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups cluster tightly around these values, while lower or higher extremes would require atypical steering flows or stronger precipitation that current data do not support. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 11?
23°C 46%
24°C 25%
22°C 21%
21°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
21%
23°C
46%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
24°C 25%
22°C 21%
21°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
7%
20°C
$65 Vol.
2%
21°C
$37 Vol.
9%
22°C
$69 Vol.
21%
23°C
$135 Vol.
46%
24°C
$236 Vol.
25%
25°C
$37 Vol.
5%
26°C
$533 Vol.
1%
27°C
$23 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$26 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-August climate typically features overnight lows averaging 23–24°C, driven by high humidity, urban heat retention, and the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system. Current JMA forecasts for August 11 indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling overnight and support minimum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 23.8°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation from this baseline, with no incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or unusual atmospheric patterns expected to push readings substantially lower or higher. Traders have concentrated probability on 22–24°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups cluster tightly around these values, while lower or higher extremes would require atypical steering flows or stronger precipitation that current data do not support. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,210Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-August climate typically features overnight lows averaging 23–24°C, driven by high humidity, urban heat retention, and the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system. Current JMA forecasts for August 11 indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling overnight and support minimum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 23.8°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation from this baseline, with no incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or unusual atmospheric patterns expected to push readings substantially lower or higher. Traders have concentrated probability on 22–24°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups cluster tightly around these values, while lower or higher extremes would require atypical steering flows or stronger precipitation that current data do not support. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,210Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's mid-August climate typically features overnight lows averaging 23–24°C, driven by high humidity, urban heat retention, and the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system. Current JMA forecasts for August 11 indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling overnight and support minimum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 23.8°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation from this baseline, with no incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or unusual atmospheric patterns expected to push readings substantially lower or higher. Traders have concentrated probability on 22–24°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups cluster tightly around these values, while lower or higher extremes would require atypical steering flows or stronger precipitation that current data do not support. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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