Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32°C on September 24 under mainly fine, dry conditions influenced by a persistent northeast monsoon, with east winds at force 4 and low precipitation chances. This supports trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, as historical analogs and current model consensus show temperatures typically peaking near the upper end of the 27–32°C range when daytime solar heating is uninterrupted. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, humidity profiles, or brief cloud periods could determine whether the daily high reaches exactly 31°C or 32°C at the reference station, with later-week subsidence expected to push subsequent days higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24?
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
30°C 21%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
30°C 21%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32°C on September 24 under mainly fine, dry conditions influenced by a persistent northeast monsoon, with east winds at force 4 and low precipitation chances. This supports trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, as historical analogs and current model consensus show temperatures typically peaking near the upper end of the 27–32°C range when daytime solar heating is uninterrupted. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing, humidity profiles, or brief cloud periods could determine whether the daily high reaches exactly 31°C or 32°C at the reference station, with later-week subsidence expected to push subsequent days higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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