The market's concentration around 72-75°F reflects National Weather Service forecasts calling for a San Francisco high near 73°F on September 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate west-southwest onshore flow. Recent model runs show the marine layer compressing overnight before gradual afternoon clearing, limiting warming compared to the warmer interior Bay Area while preventing full marine stratus suppression. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology of 70-74°F highs, though small differences in wind speed, fog clearance timing, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 2-3°F. Updated NWS short-term discussions and hourly observations from downtown and SFO stations through evening will provide the key data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 24?
74-75°F 29%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 21%
70-71°F 14%
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
74-75°F 29%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 21%
70-71°F 14%
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's concentration around 72-75°F reflects National Weather Service forecasts calling for a San Francisco high near 73°F on September 24 under partly cloudy skies and moderate west-southwest onshore flow. Recent model runs show the marine layer compressing overnight before gradual afternoon clearing, limiting warming compared to the warmer interior Bay Area while preventing full marine stratus suppression. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology of 70-74°F highs, though small differences in wind speed, fog clearance timing, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 2-3°F. Updated NWS short-term discussions and hourly observations from downtown and SFO stations through evening will provide the key data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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