Current ensemble forecasts from global models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to minimum temperatures in Taipei on September 25 in the 23–26°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and a 30–40% chance of showers. The near-even market split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes reflects model divergence on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and any lingering moisture that could suppress or enhance overnight lows. Historical late-September baselines average near 24°C, so the tight probabilities around 24–25°C capture baseline expectations while the tails price residual uncertainty ahead of the next model cycle and official station verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Taipei on September 25?
30°C or higher 89%
20°C or below 84%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
84%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
36%
25°C
25%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
34%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
89%
30°C or higher 89%
20°C or below 84%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
84%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
36%
25°C
25%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
34%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current ensemble forecasts from global models and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to minimum temperatures in Taipei on September 25 in the 23–26°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and a 30–40% chance of showers. The near-even market split between 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes reflects model divergence on nocturnal radiative cooling rates and any lingering moisture that could suppress or enhance overnight lows. Historical late-September baselines average near 24°C, so the tight probabilities around 24–25°C capture baseline expectations while the tails price residual uncertainty ahead of the next model cycle and official station verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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