Recent GFS and multi-model forecasts for São Paulo indicate a daytime high near 28°C on September 25 under building high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly or variable winds that limit cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered between 27–29°C, consistent with springtime warming trends that exceed the September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. Light precipitation chances appear too low to suppress maximum temperatures meaningfully. Traders appear to weight the latest model consensus and historical verification of similar setups, producing the current market-implied probabilities centered on 27–29°C ahead of final pre-event updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 25?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 25?
28°C 39%
29°C 27%
27°C 24%
26°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
24%
28°C
39%
29°C
27%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 27%
27°C 24%
26°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$7 Vol.
2%
24°C
$161 Vol.
2%
25°C
$152 Vol.
4%
26°C
$226 Vol.
7%
27°C
$554 Vol.
24%
28°C
$386 Vol.
39%
29°C
$932 Vol.
27%
30°C
$205 Vol.
4%
31°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and multi-model forecasts for São Paulo indicate a daytime high near 28°C on September 25 under building high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly or variable winds that limit cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered between 27–29°C, consistent with springtime warming trends that exceed the September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. Light precipitation chances appear too low to suppress maximum temperatures meaningfully. Traders appear to weight the latest model consensus and historical verification of similar setups, producing the current market-implied probabilities centered on 27–29°C ahead of final pre-event updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,744Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and multi-model forecasts for São Paulo indicate a daytime high near 28°C on September 25 under building high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly or variable winds that limit cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered between 27–29°C, consistent with springtime warming trends that exceed the September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. Light precipitation chances appear too low to suppress maximum temperatures meaningfully. Traders appear to weight the latest model consensus and historical verification of similar setups, producing the current market-implied probabilities centered on 27–29°C ahead of final pre-event updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,744Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent GFS and multi-model forecasts for São Paulo indicate a daytime high near 28°C on September 25 under building high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly or variable winds that limit cooling. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustered between 27–29°C, consistent with springtime warming trends that exceed the September climatological average of roughly 23–25°C. Light precipitation chances appear too low to suppress maximum temperatures meaningfully. Traders appear to weight the latest model consensus and historical verification of similar setups, producing the current market-implied probabilities centered on 27–29°C ahead of final pre-event updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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