**Recent cooler, wetter conditions from a passing frontal system have kept trader focus on modest daytime recovery for São Paulo on September 24, 2026.** Multiple model runs show the city emerging from widespread rain and overcast skies on the 22nd–23rd, with highs near or below 15–19 °C on those days, into a partly to mostly cloudy Thursday with light southeast winds and minimal additional precipitation. Official and ensemble guidance clusters the expected maximum between roughly 16 °C and 20 °C, producing the current market distribution that places 20 °C at 34 % implied probability, followed by 19 °C (23 %) and 21 °C (18.5 %). Key variables include the precise timing and extent of cloud break-up, which controls solar heating rates; boundary-layer moisture and dew-point recovery after the rain; and any lingering southeasterly flow that can suppress temperatures relative to September climatology (typical high near 23 °C). Higher outcomes (22 °C+) remain possible only if stronger insolation or warmer advection materializes, while sub-18 °C readings would require persistent low clouds or delayed clearing. Model spread and the narrow 1 °C resolution bins create the observed high uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local observations as the primary drivers of shifting odds ahead of tomorrow’s maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 24?
20°C 34%
19°C 23%
21°C 22%
18°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
15%
19°C
23%
20°C
34%
21°C
24%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
4%
20°C 34%
19°C 23%
21°C 22%
18°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
14°C
$10 Vol.
4%
15°C
$10 Vol.
3%
16°C
$12 Vol.
3%
17°C
$5 Vol.
6%
18°C
$408 Vol.
15%
19°C
$39 Vol.
23%
20°C
$37 Vol.
34%
21°C
$109 Vol.
24%
22°C
$5 Vol.
12%
23°C or higher
$156 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooler, wetter conditions from a passing frontal system have kept trader focus on modest daytime recovery for São Paulo on September 24, 2026.** Multiple model runs show the city emerging from widespread rain and overcast skies on the 22nd–23rd, with highs near or below 15–19 °C on those days, into a partly to mostly cloudy Thursday with light southeast winds and minimal additional precipitation. Official and ensemble guidance clusters the expected maximum between roughly 16 °C and 20 °C, producing the current market distribution that places 20 °C at 34 % implied probability, followed by 19 °C (23 %) and 21 °C (18.5 %).
Key variables include the precise timing and extent of cloud break-up, which controls solar heating rates; boundary-layer moisture and dew-point recovery after the rain; and any lingering southeasterly flow that can suppress temperatures relative to September climatology (typical high near 23 °C). Higher outcomes (22 °C+) remain possible only if stronger insolation or warmer advection materializes, while sub-18 °C readings would require persistent low clouds or delayed clearing. Model spread and the narrow 1 °C resolution bins create the observed high uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local observations as the primary drivers of shifting odds ahead of tomorrow’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$796Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooler, wetter conditions from a passing frontal system have kept trader focus on modest daytime recovery for São Paulo on September 24, 2026.** Multiple model runs show the city emerging from widespread rain and overcast skies on the 22nd–23rd, with highs near or below 15–19 °C on those days, into a partly to mostly cloudy Thursday with light southeast winds and minimal additional precipitation. Official and ensemble guidance clusters the expected maximum between roughly 16 °C and 20 °C, producing the current market distribution that places 20 °C at 34 % implied probability, followed by 19 °C (23 %) and 21 °C (18.5 %).
Key variables include the precise timing and extent of cloud break-up, which controls solar heating rates; boundary-layer moisture and dew-point recovery after the rain; and any lingering southeasterly flow that can suppress temperatures relative to September climatology (typical high near 23 °C). Higher outcomes (22 °C+) remain possible only if stronger insolation or warmer advection materializes, while sub-18 °C readings would require persistent low clouds or delayed clearing. Model spread and the narrow 1 °C resolution bins create the observed high uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local observations as the primary drivers of shifting odds ahead of tomorrow’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$796Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cooler, wetter conditions from a passing frontal system have kept trader focus on modest daytime recovery for São Paulo on September 24, 2026.** Multiple model runs show the city emerging from widespread rain and overcast skies on the 22nd–23rd, with highs near or below 15–19 °C on those days, into a partly to mostly cloudy Thursday with light southeast winds and minimal additional precipitation. Official and ensemble guidance clusters the expected maximum between roughly 16 °C and 20 °C, producing the current market distribution that places 20 °C at 34 % implied probability, followed by 19 °C (23 %) and 21 °C (18.5 %). Key variables include the precise timing and extent of cloud break-up, which controls solar heating rates; boundary-layer moisture and dew-point recovery after the rain; and any lingering southeasterly flow that can suppress temperatures relative to September climatology (typical high near 23 °C). Higher outcomes (22 °C+) remain possible only if stronger insolation or warmer advection materializes, while sub-18 °C readings would require persistent low clouds or delayed clearing. Model spread and the narrow 1 °C resolution bins create the observed high uncertainty, with traders weighting the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local observations as the primary drivers of shifting odds ahead of tomorrow’s maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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