Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on September 24, following a polar front that delivered lows around 5–7°C on September 22–23. Northerly winds are now advecting warmer, drier air, supporting a rebound toward daytime highs of 20–23°C, though overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover introduces spread in minimum readings. This genuine model and observational uncertainty—typical for spring transition periods—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the potential for faster or slower warming based on the latest guidance updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?
17°C or higher 93%
7°C or below 90%
12°C 23%
11°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
90%
8°C
18%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
23%
14°C
10%
15°C
18%
16°C
16%
17°C or higher
93%
17°C or higher 93%
7°C or below 90%
12°C 23%
11°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
$10 Vol.
90%
8°C
$41 Vol.
18%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$10 Vol.
18%
16°C
$10 Vol.
16%
17°C or higher
$10 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on September 24, following a polar front that delivered lows around 5–7°C on September 22–23. Northerly winds are now advecting warmer, drier air, supporting a rebound toward daytime highs of 20–23°C, though overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover introduces spread in minimum readings. This genuine model and observational uncertainty—typical for spring transition periods—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the potential for faster or slower warming based on the latest guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$81Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on September 24, following a polar front that delivered lows around 5–7°C on September 22–23. Northerly winds are now advecting warmer, drier air, supporting a rebound toward daytime highs of 20–23°C, though overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover introduces spread in minimum readings. This genuine model and observational uncertainty—typical for spring transition periods—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the potential for faster or slower warming based on the latest guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on September 24, following a polar front that delivered lows around 5–7°C on September 22–23. Northerly winds are now advecting warmer, drier air, supporting a rebound toward daytime highs of 20–23°C, though overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover introduces spread in minimum readings. This genuine model and observational uncertainty—typical for spring transition periods—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting the potential for faster or slower warming based on the latest guidance updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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