**Recent polar air advection has driven the coldest conditions of the week into Buenos Aires on September 22, with official and model guidance showing an overnight minimum near 7–8 °C on the 23rd as northerly winds begin advecting milder air.** Forecasts from ECMWF, GFS-influenced sources, and local agencies (SMN) converge on a low of approximately 7–8 °C early on the 23rd before daytime recovery to 16–18 °C, consistent with the rapid post-frontal warming pattern typical after a springtime cold surge. This positions the market-implied probability for sub-4 °C outcomes as reflecting lingering uncertainty around exact boundary-layer cooling and wind-shift timing, while the elevated odds on 13 °C+ reflect the expected quick moderation. Historical September minima average near 8–10 °C, underscoring how the current front has temporarily depressed values before the seasonal rebound. Updated model runs and official minimum reports on the morning of the 23rd will be the key resolution drivers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 23?
13°C or higher 73%
3°C or below 42%
9°C 32%
5°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 23, 2026
3°C or below
42%
4°C
22%
5°C
23%
6°C
9%
7°C
21%
8°C
21%
9°C
32%
10°C
11%
11°C
11%
12°C
3%
13°C or higher
73%
13°C or higher 73%
3°C or below 42%
9°C 32%
5°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 23, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Vol.
42%
4°C
$0 Vol.
22%
5°C
$0 Vol.
23%
6°C
$29 Vol.
9%
7°C
$0 Vol.
21%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$30 Vol.
32%
10°C
$50 Vol.
11%
11°C
$40 Vol.
11%
12°C
$100 Vol.
3%
13°C or higher
$100 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent polar air advection has driven the coldest conditions of the week into Buenos Aires on September 22, with official and model guidance showing an overnight minimum near 7–8 °C on the 23rd as northerly winds begin advecting milder air.**
Forecasts from ECMWF, GFS-influenced sources, and local agencies (SMN) converge on a low of approximately 7–8 °C early on the 23rd before daytime recovery to 16–18 °C, consistent with the rapid post-frontal warming pattern typical after a springtime cold surge. This positions the market-implied probability for sub-4 °C outcomes as reflecting lingering uncertainty around exact boundary-layer cooling and wind-shift timing, while the elevated odds on 13 °C+ reflect the expected quick moderation. Historical September minima average near 8–10 °C, underscoring how the current front has temporarily depressed values before the seasonal rebound. Updated model runs and official minimum reports on the morning of the 23rd will be the key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$350Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent polar air advection has driven the coldest conditions of the week into Buenos Aires on September 22, with official and model guidance showing an overnight minimum near 7–8 °C on the 23rd as northerly winds begin advecting milder air.**
Forecasts from ECMWF, GFS-influenced sources, and local agencies (SMN) converge on a low of approximately 7–8 °C early on the 23rd before daytime recovery to 16–18 °C, consistent with the rapid post-frontal warming pattern typical after a springtime cold surge. This positions the market-implied probability for sub-4 °C outcomes as reflecting lingering uncertainty around exact boundary-layer cooling and wind-shift timing, while the elevated odds on 13 °C+ reflect the expected quick moderation. Historical September minima average near 8–10 °C, underscoring how the current front has temporarily depressed values before the seasonal rebound. Updated model runs and official minimum reports on the morning of the 23rd will be the key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$350Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polar air advection has driven the coldest conditions of the week into Buenos Aires on September 22, with official and model guidance showing an overnight minimum near 7–8 °C on the 23rd as northerly winds begin advecting milder air.** Forecasts from ECMWF, GFS-influenced sources, and local agencies (SMN) converge on a low of approximately 7–8 °C early on the 23rd before daytime recovery to 16–18 °C, consistent with the rapid post-frontal warming pattern typical after a springtime cold surge. This positions the market-implied probability for sub-4 °C outcomes as reflecting lingering uncertainty around exact boundary-layer cooling and wind-shift timing, while the elevated odds on 13 °C+ reflect the expected quick moderation. Historical September minima average near 8–10 °C, underscoring how the current front has temporarily depressed values before the seasonal rebound. Updated model runs and official minimum reports on the morning of the 23rd will be the key resolution drivers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan