A cold front advancing across the Río de la Plata region is driving the closely balanced market odds, with numerical weather models converging on a September 22 minimum near 6–8 °C under brisk southwesterly flow and partial clearing. Radiational cooling potential after the frontal passage introduces divergence: stronger nocturnal decoupling could push readings toward or below 2 °C, while residual mixing or delayed clearing supports values near or above 10 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, keeping the 1 °C-or-below and 11 °C-or-higher bins nearly even while compressing probabilities for intermediate thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
1°C or below 98%
11°C or higher 97%
3°C 40%
2°C 38%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
1°C or below
98%
2°C
38%
3°C
40%
4°C
22%
5°C
21%
6°C
20%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
38%
10°C
38%
11°C or higher
97%
1°C or below 98%
11°C or higher 97%
3°C 40%
2°C 38%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
1°C or below
$0 Vol.
98%
2°C
$0 Vol.
38%
3°C
$0 Vol.
40%
4°C
$0 Vol.
22%
5°C
$0 Vol.
21%
6°C
$0 Vol.
20%
7°C
$0 Vol.
38%
8°C
$0 Vol.
38%
9°C
$0 Vol.
38%
10°C
$0 Vol.
38%
11°C or higher
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across the Río de la Plata region is driving the closely balanced market odds, with numerical weather models converging on a September 22 minimum near 6–8 °C under brisk southwesterly flow and partial clearing. Radiational cooling potential after the frontal passage introduces divergence: stronger nocturnal decoupling could push readings toward or below 2 °C, while residual mixing or delayed clearing supports values near or above 10 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, keeping the 1 °C-or-below and 11 °C-or-higher bins nearly even while compressing probabilities for intermediate thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across the Río de la Plata region is driving the closely balanced market odds, with numerical weather models converging on a September 22 minimum near 6–8 °C under brisk southwesterly flow and partial clearing. Radiational cooling potential after the frontal passage introduces divergence: stronger nocturnal decoupling could push readings toward or below 2 °C, while residual mixing or delayed clearing supports values near or above 10 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, keeping the 1 °C-or-below and 11 °C-or-higher bins nearly even while compressing probabilities for intermediate thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing across the Río de la Plata region is driving the closely balanced market odds, with numerical weather models converging on a September 22 minimum near 6–8 °C under brisk southwesterly flow and partial clearing. Radiational cooling potential after the frontal passage introduces divergence: stronger nocturnal decoupling could push readings toward or below 2 °C, while residual mixing or delayed clearing supports values near or above 10 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, keeping the 1 °C-or-below and 11 °C-or-higher bins nearly even while compressing probabilities for intermediate thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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