Recent model consensus and official guidance point to a cold front sweeping through Buenos Aires on September 21, with southwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and promoting overnight radiational cooling under partly clear skies. Forecasts from sources including SMN-aligned outlooks and international ensembles cluster minimum temperatures near 10–11°C, though slight variations in frontal timing, wind speeds, and cloud cover could shift the low by several degrees. This narrow scientific uncertainty—typical for spring transitional systems—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spread and historical September variability around the 12°C climatological baseline. Updated NWP runs and SMN briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 21?
7°C or below 90%
17°C or higher 90%
10°C 40%
8°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
7°C or below
90%
8°C
39%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
11%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C
13%
17°C or higher
90%
7°C or below 90%
17°C or higher 90%
10°C 40%
8°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$35 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
13%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
13%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance point to a cold front sweeping through Buenos Aires on September 21, with southwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and promoting overnight radiational cooling under partly clear skies. Forecasts from sources including SMN-aligned outlooks and international ensembles cluster minimum temperatures near 10–11°C, though slight variations in frontal timing, wind speeds, and cloud cover could shift the low by several degrees. This narrow scientific uncertainty—typical for spring transitional systems—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spread and historical September variability around the 12°C climatological baseline. Updated NWP runs and SMN briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$35Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance point to a cold front sweeping through Buenos Aires on September 21, with southwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and promoting overnight radiational cooling under partly clear skies. Forecasts from sources including SMN-aligned outlooks and international ensembles cluster minimum temperatures near 10–11°C, though slight variations in frontal timing, wind speeds, and cloud cover could shift the low by several degrees. This narrow scientific uncertainty—typical for spring transitional systems—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spread and historical September variability around the 12°C climatological baseline. Updated NWP runs and SMN briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance point to a cold front sweeping through Buenos Aires on September 21, with southwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and promoting overnight radiational cooling under partly clear skies. Forecasts from sources including SMN-aligned outlooks and international ensembles cluster minimum temperatures near 10–11°C, though slight variations in frontal timing, wind speeds, and cloud cover could shift the low by several degrees. This narrow scientific uncertainty—typical for spring transitional systems—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble spread and historical September variability around the 12°C climatological baseline. Updated NWP runs and SMN briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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