Hong Kong's maximum temperature on September 20 sits in a near-even contest between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance calls for a peak near 33°C under high-pressure influence, with light east to northeast winds and mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to afternoon cloud increases. Dry air and strong solar heating support readings at or above the seasonal 30–31°C average, while localized convection or brief showers could trim the peak by a degree. Model consensus and recent observations from the prior day, which reached 32–33°C, reinforce this narrow range, with only minimal probability priced for 34°C or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
32°C 67%
33°C 34%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
$73,212 Vol.
$73,212 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
67%
33°C
34%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 67%
33°C 34%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
$73,212 Vol.
$73,212 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
$451 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,409 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,444 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$17,732 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,701 Vol.
67%
33°C
$16,673 Vol.
34%
34°C
$8,235 Vol.
2%
35°C
$3,730 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$2,092 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's maximum temperature on September 20 sits in a near-even contest between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance calls for a peak near 33°C under high-pressure influence, with light east to northeast winds and mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to afternoon cloud increases. Dry air and strong solar heating support readings at or above the seasonal 30–31°C average, while localized convection or brief showers could trim the peak by a degree. Model consensus and recent observations from the prior day, which reached 32–33°C, reinforce this narrow range, with only minimal probability priced for 34°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$73,212Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's maximum temperature on September 20 sits in a near-even contest between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance calls for a peak near 33°C under high-pressure influence, with light east to northeast winds and mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to afternoon cloud increases. Dry air and strong solar heating support readings at or above the seasonal 30–31°C average, while localized convection or brief showers could trim the peak by a degree. Model consensus and recent observations from the prior day, which reached 32–33°C, reinforce this narrow range, with only minimal probability priced for 34°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,212Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's maximum temperature on September 20 sits in a near-even contest between 32°C and 33°C market-implied odds because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance calls for a peak near 33°C under high-pressure influence, with light east to northeast winds and mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to afternoon cloud increases. Dry air and strong solar heating support readings at or above the seasonal 30–31°C average, while localized convection or brief showers could trim the peak by a degree. Model consensus and recent observations from the prior day, which reached 32–33°C, reinforce this narrow range, with only minimal probability priced for 34°C or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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