**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the day's highest temperature in Shanghai, reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological authorities showing a peak near this threshold under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds around 10-15 km/h.** Current readings hover in the mid-20s°C mid-morning to early afternoon, with model runs and historical September baselines (average highs near 28°C) supporting limited further warming due to moderate humidity and stable atmospheric conditions. The strong market-implied probability above 90% aligns with this data-driven outlook from sources like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Realistic challenges include unexpected reductions in cloud cover boosting insolation or revisions in late-day observational data from key stations such as Xujiahui, though current trends make significant upward shifts unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
28°C 99%
29°C 2%
30°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$53,887 Vol.
$53,887 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
29°C 2%
30°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$53,887 Vol.
$53,887 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
$595 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,552 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,871 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$16,564 Vol.
99%
29°C
$11,410 Vol.
2%
30°C
$7,958 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,632 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,603 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,355 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the day's highest temperature in Shanghai, reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological authorities showing a peak near this threshold under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds around 10-15 km/h.**
Current readings hover in the mid-20s°C mid-morning to early afternoon, with model runs and historical September baselines (average highs near 28°C) supporting limited further warming due to moderate humidity and stable atmospheric conditions. The strong market-implied probability above 90% aligns with this data-driven outlook from sources like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau.
Realistic challenges include unexpected reductions in cloud cover boosting insolation or revisions in late-day observational data from key stations such as Xujiahui, though current trends make significant upward shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$53,887Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the day's highest temperature in Shanghai, reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological authorities showing a peak near this threshold under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds around 10-15 km/h.**
Current readings hover in the mid-20s°C mid-morning to early afternoon, with model runs and historical September baselines (average highs near 28°C) supporting limited further warming due to moderate humidity and stable atmospheric conditions. The strong market-implied probability above 90% aligns with this data-driven outlook from sources like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau.
Realistic challenges include unexpected reductions in cloud cover boosting insolation or revisions in late-day observational data from key stations such as Xujiahui, though current trends make significant upward shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,887Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the day's highest temperature in Shanghai, reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological authorities showing a peak near this threshold under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds around 10-15 km/h.** Current readings hover in the mid-20s°C mid-morning to early afternoon, with model runs and historical September baselines (average highs near 28°C) supporting limited further warming due to moderate humidity and stable atmospheric conditions. The strong market-implied probability above 90% aligns with this data-driven outlook from sources like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Realistic challenges include unexpected reductions in cloud cover boosting insolation or revisions in late-day observational data from key stations such as Xujiahui, though current trends make significant upward shifts unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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