Recent model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System points to a high temperature in Tokyo on September 22 of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon clearing and light northerly winds. This follows heavy rainfall on September 20–21 associated with a passing low-pressure system, which has suppressed daytime heating but is expected to yield drier conditions and modest warming as cloud cover decreases. Forecasts cluster near or slightly above late-September climatological averages of 26–27°C, with afternoon peaks projected around 29–30°C in multiple runs. Trader positioning across the 29–31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of clearing and any residual moisture effects on maximum readings. Updated model guidance and official Japan Meteorological Agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
30°C 33%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
23%
30°C
33%
31°C
27%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
$66 Vol.
3%
26°C
$57 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$10 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$3 Vol.
33%
31°C
$55 Vol.
27%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System points to a high temperature in Tokyo on September 22 of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon clearing and light northerly winds. This follows heavy rainfall on September 20–21 associated with a passing low-pressure system, which has suppressed daytime heating but is expected to yield drier conditions and modest warming as cloud cover decreases. Forecasts cluster near or slightly above late-September climatological averages of 26–27°C, with afternoon peaks projected around 29–30°C in multiple runs. Trader positioning across the 29–31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of clearing and any residual moisture effects on maximum readings. Updated model guidance and official Japan Meteorological Agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$302Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System points to a high temperature in Tokyo on September 22 of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon clearing and light northerly winds. This follows heavy rainfall on September 20–21 associated with a passing low-pressure system, which has suppressed daytime heating but is expected to yield drier conditions and modest warming as cloud cover decreases. Forecasts cluster near or slightly above late-September climatological averages of 26–27°C, with afternoon peaks projected around 29–30°C in multiple runs. Trader positioning across the 29–31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of clearing and any residual moisture effects on maximum readings. Updated model guidance and official Japan Meteorological Agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$302Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Global Forecast System points to a high temperature in Tokyo on September 22 of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon clearing and light northerly winds. This follows heavy rainfall on September 20–21 associated with a passing low-pressure system, which has suppressed daytime heating but is expected to yield drier conditions and modest warming as cloud cover decreases. Forecasts cluster near or slightly above late-September climatological averages of 26–27°C, with afternoon peaks projected around 29–30°C in multiple runs. Trader positioning across the 29–31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of clearing and any residual moisture effects on maximum readings. Updated model guidance and official Japan Meteorological Agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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