Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on September 21 amid heavy rainfall and thunderstorms linked to Typhoon No. 25 and associated moist airflow, with 90–100% precipitation probability suppressing daytime heating. Multiple models converge on highs near 25–26°C under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly winds, aligning with historical mid-September norms of about 25.8°C. Trader emphasis on 26°C (39.5%) reflects this consensus, while slight dispersion toward 25°C or 27°C accounts for model spread in exact timing of heaviest rain and potential brief clearing. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will refine the precise peak before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
26°C 40%
27°C 23%
25°C 20%
24°C 12%
$14,508 Vol.
$14,508 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
20%
26°C
40%
27°C
23%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 40%
27°C 23%
25°C 20%
24°C 12%
$14,508 Vol.
$14,508 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
20%
26°C
40%
27°C
23%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on September 21 amid heavy rainfall and thunderstorms linked to Typhoon No. 25 and associated moist airflow, with 90–100% precipitation probability suppressing daytime heating. Multiple models converge on highs near 25–26°C under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly winds, aligning with historical mid-September norms of about 25.8°C. Trader emphasis on 26°C (39.5%) reflects this consensus, while slight dispersion toward 25°C or 27°C accounts for model spread in exact timing of heaviest rain and potential brief clearing. Updated JMA guidance and observational data tomorrow will refine the precise peak before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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