Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a cooler northeasterly flow will dominate New York City on September 22, 2026, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and limited diurnal heating supporting overnight lows centered in the upper 50s to low 60s Fahrenheit. This setup follows several days of rain and a shift from southerly to northeasterly winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late-September cool-air intrusions. Multiple forecasts converge on minimum temperatures near 57–60°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around the 58–61°F bins and reflecting traders’ assessment of forecast consensus and resolution criteria for the daily low. Updated model runs and any changes in wind or precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on September 22?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 22?
60-61°F 67%
58-59°F 45%
62-63°F 19%
56-57°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
51°F or below
5%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
45%
60-61°F
67%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
5%
70°F or higher
5%
60-61°F 67%
58-59°F 45%
62-63°F 19%
56-57°F 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
51°F or below
$0 Vol.
5%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
5%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
7%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
11%
58-59°F
$8 Vol.
45%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
67%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
5%
70°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a cooler northeasterly flow will dominate New York City on September 22, 2026, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and limited diurnal heating supporting overnight lows centered in the upper 50s to low 60s Fahrenheit. This setup follows several days of rain and a shift from southerly to northeasterly winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late-September cool-air intrusions. Multiple forecasts converge on minimum temperatures near 57–60°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around the 58–61°F bins and reflecting traders’ assessment of forecast consensus and resolution criteria for the daily low. Updated model runs and any changes in wind or precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$8Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a cooler northeasterly flow will dominate New York City on September 22, 2026, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and limited diurnal heating supporting overnight lows centered in the upper 50s to low 60s Fahrenheit. This setup follows several days of rain and a shift from southerly to northeasterly winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late-September cool-air intrusions. Multiple forecasts converge on minimum temperatures near 57–60°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around the 58–61°F bins and reflecting traders’ assessment of forecast consensus and resolution criteria for the daily low. Updated model runs and any changes in wind or precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a cooler northeasterly flow will dominate New York City on September 22, 2026, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and limited diurnal heating supporting overnight lows centered in the upper 50s to low 60s Fahrenheit. This setup follows several days of rain and a shift from southerly to northeasterly winds, consistent with climatological patterns for late-September cool-air intrusions. Multiple forecasts converge on minimum temperatures near 57–60°F, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around the 58–61°F bins and reflecting traders’ assessment of forecast consensus and resolution criteria for the daily low. Updated model runs and any changes in wind or precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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