Recent heavy rainfall from a passing weather system has cooled Tokyo ahead of September 22, with overnight lows on the 20th–21st dropping to 21–22°C amid saturated conditions and northerly winds. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models converge on a minimum of 21–23°C for the 22nd under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, as residual moisture and moderate northwest flow limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 19°C but recent wet patterns have kept values elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 23–24°C reflect trader assessment of these model runs and the low likelihood of further significant cooling before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 22?
24°C 43%
23°C 33%
22°C 17%
21°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
16%
23°C
33%
24°C
43%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 43%
23°C 33%
22°C 17%
21°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$86 Vol.
1%
20°C
$102 Vol.
3%
21°C
$66 Vol.
9%
22°C
$151 Vol.
16%
23°C
$628 Vol.
33%
24°C
$357 Vol.
43%
25°C
$271 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall from a passing weather system has cooled Tokyo ahead of September 22, with overnight lows on the 20th–21st dropping to 21–22°C amid saturated conditions and northerly winds. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models converge on a minimum of 21–23°C for the 22nd under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, as residual moisture and moderate northwest flow limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 19°C but recent wet patterns have kept values elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 23–24°C reflect trader assessment of these model runs and the low likelihood of further significant cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,637Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall from a passing weather system has cooled Tokyo ahead of September 22, with overnight lows on the 20th–21st dropping to 21–22°C amid saturated conditions and northerly winds. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models converge on a minimum of 21–23°C for the 22nd under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, as residual moisture and moderate northwest flow limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 19°C but recent wet patterns have kept values elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 23–24°C reflect trader assessment of these model runs and the low likelihood of further significant cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,637Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall from a passing weather system has cooled Tokyo ahead of September 22, with overnight lows on the 20th–21st dropping to 21–22°C amid saturated conditions and northerly winds. Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models converge on a minimum of 21–23°C for the 22nd under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, as residual moisture and moderate northwest flow limit radiative cooling. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average minima hover near 19°C but recent wet patterns have kept values elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 23–24°C reflect trader assessment of these model runs and the low likelihood of further significant cooling before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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