Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Milan on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies and light southerly to westerly winds, supporting strong daytime radiative heating in the Po Valley. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover overnight have limited cooling, while low humidity and negligible precipitation risk allow temperatures to approach or reach these levels. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context for the current anomaly. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher given the absence of stronger warm advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on September 21?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 21?
30°C 55%
29°C 32%
31°C or higher 9%
28°C 8%
BARU
$10,919 Vol.
BARU
$10,919 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
55%
31°C or higher
9%
30°C 55%
29°C 32%
31°C or higher 9%
28°C 8%
BARU
$10,919 Vol.
BARU
$10,919 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
21°C or below
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,840 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,264 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$490 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,287 Vol.
8%
29°C
$1,200 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,770 Vol.
55%
31°C or higher
$1,215 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Milan on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies and light southerly to westerly winds, supporting strong daytime radiative heating in the Po Valley. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover overnight have limited cooling, while low humidity and negligible precipitation risk allow temperatures to approach or reach these levels. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context for the current anomaly. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher given the absence of stronger warm advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,919Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Milan on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies and light southerly to westerly winds, supporting strong daytime radiative heating in the Po Valley. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover overnight have limited cooling, while low humidity and negligible precipitation risk allow temperatures to approach or reach these levels. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context for the current anomaly. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher given the absence of stronger warm advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,919Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daily maximum of 29–30°C in Milan on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies and light southerly to westerly winds, supporting strong daytime radiative heating in the Po Valley. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover overnight have limited cooling, while low humidity and negligible precipitation risk allow temperatures to approach or reach these levels. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context for the current anomaly. This consensus drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher given the absence of stronger warm advection. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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