Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds across São Paulo on September 20, suppressing peak temperatures into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 21–23°C outcomes, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime heating below September climatological averages near 23–24°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread across adjacent bins, with higher probabilities on cooler thresholds reflecting recent cooler-than-normal conditions and ongoing overcast patterns that could shave several degrees from maximums if sustained through afternoon hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 20?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 20?
21°C or below 30%
22°C 21%
23°C 15%
24°C 15%
BARU
$19,346 Vol.
BARU
$19,346 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
21°C or below
30%
22°C
21%
23°C
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
14%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 30%
22°C 21%
23°C 15%
24°C 15%
BARU
$19,346 Vol.
BARU
$19,346 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
21°C or below
$7,575 Vol.
30%
22°C
$2,017 Vol.
21%
23°C
$1,454 Vol.
15%
24°C
$766 Vol.
15%
25°C
$1,606 Vol.
14%
26°C
$944 Vol.
8%
27°C
$1,395 Vol.
4%
28°C
$558 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,838 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$96 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds across São Paulo on September 20, suppressing peak temperatures into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 21–23°C outcomes, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime heating below September climatological averages near 23–24°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread across adjacent bins, with higher probabilities on cooler thresholds reflecting recent cooler-than-normal conditions and ongoing overcast patterns that could shave several degrees from maximums if sustained through afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$19,346Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds across São Paulo on September 20, suppressing peak temperatures into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 21–23°C outcomes, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime heating below September climatological averages near 23–24°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread across adjacent bins, with higher probabilities on cooler thresholds reflecting recent cooler-than-normal conditions and ongoing overcast patterns that could shave several degrees from maximums if sustained through afternoon hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,346Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service equivalents and global ensembles indicate persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds across São Paulo on September 20, suppressing peak temperatures into the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 21–23°C outcomes, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit daytime heating below September climatological averages near 23–24°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread across adjacent bins, with higher probabilities on cooler thresholds reflecting recent cooler-than-normal conditions and ongoing overcast patterns that could shave several degrees from maximums if sustained through afternoon hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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