Persistent rain and heavy cloud cover expected on September 25 are the main factors capping daytime heating in Qingdao, with multiple forecasts pointing to a maximum near 22–24°C amid southeasterly flow and widespread precipitation. This setup favors the tightly bunched market leaders at 20–22°C by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, while the low odds on 23°C+ reflect limited potential for brief clearing or weaker rainfall. Recent model guidance shows broad consensus on the unsettled pattern driven by regional moisture advection, though small timing shifts in showers could still nudge the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for refining the implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 25?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 25?
23°C 30%
21°C 26%
22°C 23%
20°C 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
26%
22°C
23%
23°C
30%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 30%
21°C 26%
22°C 23%
20°C 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$39 Vol.
1%
26°C
$60 Vol.
3%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and heavy cloud cover expected on September 25 are the main factors capping daytime heating in Qingdao, with multiple forecasts pointing to a maximum near 22–24°C amid southeasterly flow and widespread precipitation. This setup favors the tightly bunched market leaders at 20–22°C by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, while the low odds on 23°C+ reflect limited potential for brief clearing or weaker rainfall. Recent model guidance shows broad consensus on the unsettled pattern driven by regional moisture advection, though small timing shifts in showers could still nudge the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for refining the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$144Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and heavy cloud cover expected on September 25 are the main factors capping daytime heating in Qingdao, with multiple forecasts pointing to a maximum near 22–24°C amid southeasterly flow and widespread precipitation. This setup favors the tightly bunched market leaders at 20–22°C by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, while the low odds on 23°C+ reflect limited potential for brief clearing or weaker rainfall. Recent model guidance shows broad consensus on the unsettled pattern driven by regional moisture advection, though small timing shifts in showers could still nudge the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for refining the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and heavy cloud cover expected on September 25 are the main factors capping daytime heating in Qingdao, with multiple forecasts pointing to a maximum near 22–24°C amid southeasterly flow and widespread precipitation. This setup favors the tightly bunched market leaders at 20–22°C by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, while the low odds on 23°C+ reflect limited potential for brief clearing or weaker rainfall. Recent model guidance shows broad consensus on the unsettled pattern driven by regional moisture advection, though small timing shifts in showers could still nudge the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for refining the implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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