Forecast consensus from multiple models and official sources points to a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 23, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with easterly winds of 5–9 mph and minimal precipitation. Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity around 60–70% are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, keeping the high close to recent daily values near 29°C. Model runs show tight clustering around these levels, with slight variations depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh the 29°C outcome slightly ahead of 28°C due to current surface observations and the potential for brief afternoon clearing, though any increase in low-level moisture or thicker overcast could cap readings at the lower end. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 23?
29°C 49%
28°C 44%
27°C 9%
30°C 2%
$24,206 Vol.
$24,206 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
9%
28°C
44%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 44%
27°C 9%
30°C 2%
$24,206 Vol.
$24,206 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
9%
28°C
44%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models and official sources points to a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 23, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with easterly winds of 5–9 mph and minimal precipitation. Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity around 60–70% are expected to limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, keeping the high close to recent daily values near 29°C. Model runs show tight clustering around these levels, with slight variations depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh the 29°C outcome slightly ahead of 28°C due to current surface observations and the potential for brief afternoon clearing, though any increase in low-level moisture or thicker overcast could cap readings at the lower end. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan