Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 26°C for Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, following cooler, rain-cooled conditions on the 24th. This places the outcome near the upper end of trader-weighted probabilities, where 24–25°C hold slight edges. Daytime maxima will hinge on cloud thickness and any residual moisture limiting solar heating, typical for early autumn when Beijing transitions from summer warmth toward more variable patterns. Short-term numerical models show modest spread around these values, with further updates expected from regional observatories before resolution. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, though recent precipitation has introduced a modest cooling bias.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 25?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 25?
25°C 31%
24°C 27%
26°C 20%
23°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
18%
23°C
20%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
20%
27°C
13%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
24°C 27%
26°C 20%
23°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
20°C
$60 Vol.
1%
21°C
$12 Vol.
6%
22°C
$5 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$5 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$10 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 26°C for Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, following cooler, rain-cooled conditions on the 24th. This places the outcome near the upper end of trader-weighted probabilities, where 24–25°C hold slight edges. Daytime maxima will hinge on cloud thickness and any residual moisture limiting solar heating, typical for early autumn when Beijing transitions from summer warmth toward more variable patterns. Short-term numerical models show modest spread around these values, with further updates expected from regional observatories before resolution. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, though recent precipitation has introduced a modest cooling bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$85Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 26°C for Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, following cooler, rain-cooled conditions on the 24th. This places the outcome near the upper end of trader-weighted probabilities, where 24–25°C hold slight edges. Daytime maxima will hinge on cloud thickness and any residual moisture limiting solar heating, typical for early autumn when Beijing transitions from summer warmth toward more variable patterns. Short-term numerical models show modest spread around these values, with further updates expected from regional observatories before resolution. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, though recent precipitation has introduced a modest cooling bias.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 26°C for Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, following cooler, rain-cooled conditions on the 24th. This places the outcome near the upper end of trader-weighted probabilities, where 24–25°C hold slight edges. Daytime maxima will hinge on cloud thickness and any residual moisture limiting solar heating, typical for early autumn when Beijing transitions from summer warmth toward more variable patterns. Short-term numerical models show modest spread around these values, with further updates expected from regional observatories before resolution. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, though recent precipitation has introduced a modest cooling bias.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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