Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Moscow's September 25 high will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 14–15°C outcomes. A shift to cooler, moister southerly flow following warmer conditions earlier in the week has introduced increased cloud cover and scattered showers, which suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current pattern favors below-normal readings. Key variables include exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 17°C. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 25?
15°C 30%
14°C 27%
13°C 22%
17°C 21%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
18%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
30%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C
16%
19°C or higher
5%
15°C 30%
14°C 27%
13°C 22%
17°C 21%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
18%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
30%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C
16%
19°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Moscow's September 25 high will likely fall in the 13–16°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 14–15°C outcomes. A shift to cooler, moister southerly flow following warmer conditions earlier in the week has introduced increased cloud cover and scattered showers, which suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current pattern favors below-normal readings. Key variables include exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming toward 17°C. Updated model runs and official Hydrometeorological Center briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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