Current forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a September 26 high near 33°C in Karachi, supported by persistent westerly winds and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating after the recent heatwave peaked above 40°C. Sea breezes from the Arabian Sea provide additional moderation, while elevated humidity levels influence the heat index but have less direct effect on the official maximum temperature reading. Minor differences in model runs regarding exact cloud timing, wind gust strength, or localized urban effects create the observed spread in trader-implied probabilities across the 31–37°C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final peak value. Updated model outputs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine these odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on September 26?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 26?
31°C 34%
34°C 26%
33°C 23%
36°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
23%
34°C
26%
35°C
21%
36°C
23%
37°C
15%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
34°C 26%
33°C 23%
36°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
34%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C
$0 Vol.
23%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
21%
36°C
$0 Vol.
23%
37°C
$0 Vol.
15%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a September 26 high near 33°C in Karachi, supported by persistent westerly winds and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating after the recent heatwave peaked above 40°C. Sea breezes from the Arabian Sea provide additional moderation, while elevated humidity levels influence the heat index but have less direct effect on the official maximum temperature reading. Minor differences in model runs regarding exact cloud timing, wind gust strength, or localized urban effects create the observed spread in trader-implied probabilities across the 31–37°C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final peak value. Updated model outputs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a September 26 high near 33°C in Karachi, supported by persistent westerly winds and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating after the recent heatwave peaked above 40°C. Sea breezes from the Arabian Sea provide additional moderation, while elevated humidity levels influence the heat index but have less direct effect on the official maximum temperature reading. Minor differences in model runs regarding exact cloud timing, wind gust strength, or localized urban effects create the observed spread in trader-implied probabilities across the 31–37°C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final peak value. Updated model outputs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a September 26 high near 33°C in Karachi, supported by persistent westerly winds and partial cloud cover that limit daytime heating after the recent heatwave peaked above 40°C. Sea breezes from the Arabian Sea provide additional moderation, while elevated humidity levels influence the heat index but have less direct effect on the official maximum temperature reading. Minor differences in model runs regarding exact cloud timing, wind gust strength, or localized urban effects create the observed spread in trader-implied probabilities across the 31–37°C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final peak value. Updated model outputs and Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings in the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine these odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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