**National Weather Service forecasts indicate San Francisco will reach the upper 70s to near 80°F on September 23 under mostly sunny skies following morning patchy fog, a notable warm-up from the prior days' marine-layer-cooled conditions.** A departing cutoff low has allowed 500 mb heights and 850 mb temperatures to rise several degrees above normal, compressing the marine layer and permitting greater insolation. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F, where small differences in exact clearing time, onshore wind strength, or microclimate effects at official recording sites can shift the daily maximum across those bins. Historical September 23 averages near 71°F provide context for the current anomaly, while model consensus remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 23?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 23?
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
$10 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$178 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,098 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$1,343 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$668 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$2,802 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$1,580 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$90 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
2%
90°F or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts indicate San Francisco will reach the upper 70s to near 80°F on September 23 under mostly sunny skies following morning patchy fog, a notable warm-up from the prior days' marine-layer-cooled conditions.** A departing cutoff low has allowed 500 mb heights and 850 mb temperatures to rise several degrees above normal, compressing the marine layer and permitting greater insolation. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F, where small differences in exact clearing time, onshore wind strength, or microclimate effects at official recording sites can shift the daily maximum across those bins. Historical September 23 averages near 71°F provide context for the current anomaly, while model consensus remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,799Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts indicate San Francisco will reach the upper 70s to near 80°F on September 23 under mostly sunny skies following morning patchy fog, a notable warm-up from the prior days' marine-layer-cooled conditions.** A departing cutoff low has allowed 500 mb heights and 850 mb temperatures to rise several degrees above normal, compressing the marine layer and permitting greater insolation. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F, where small differences in exact clearing time, onshore wind strength, or microclimate effects at official recording sites can shift the daily maximum across those bins. Historical September 23 averages near 71°F provide context for the current anomaly, while model consensus remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,799Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts indicate San Francisco will reach the upper 70s to near 80°F on September 23 under mostly sunny skies following morning patchy fog, a notable warm-up from the prior days' marine-layer-cooled conditions.** A departing cutoff low has allowed 500 mb heights and 850 mb temperatures to rise several degrees above normal, compressing the marine layer and permitting greater insolation. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76–81°F, where small differences in exact clearing time, onshore wind strength, or microclimate effects at official recording sites can shift the daily maximum across those bins. Historical September 23 averages near 71°F provide context for the current anomaly, while model consensus remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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