Current forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 8–10°C for Toronto on September 25 under clear skies, light northerly flow, and high pressure, consistent with seasonal norms around 12°C. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 8–10°C while elevating the modest probabilities for 5°C or below versus 15°C or higher. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under minimal cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-model shifts in steering flow that could introduce warmer advection or enhanced mixing. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will clarify whether the minimum settles in the single digits or trends higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Toronto on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 25?
5°C or below 88%
15°C or higher 84%
13°C 37%
14°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
5°C or below
88%
6°C
20%
7°C
20%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
21%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C or higher
84%
5°C or below 88%
15°C or higher 84%
13°C 37%
14°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
5°C or below
$10 Vol.
88%
6°C
$0 Vol.
20%
7°C
$0 Vol.
20%
8°C
$0 Vol.
22%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$10 Vol.
37%
14°C
$10 Vol.
37%
15°C or higher
$10 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 8–10°C for Toronto on September 25 under clear skies, light northerly flow, and high pressure, consistent with seasonal norms around 12°C. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 8–10°C while elevating the modest probabilities for 5°C or below versus 15°C or higher. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under minimal cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-model shifts in steering flow that could introduce warmer advection or enhanced mixing. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will clarify whether the minimum settles in the single digits or trends higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$40Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 8–10°C for Toronto on September 25 under clear skies, light northerly flow, and high pressure, consistent with seasonal norms around 12°C. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 8–10°C while elevating the modest probabilities for 5°C or below versus 15°C or higher. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under minimal cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-model shifts in steering flow that could introduce warmer advection or enhanced mixing. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will clarify whether the minimum settles in the single digits or trends higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 8–10°C for Toronto on September 25 under clear skies, light northerly flow, and high pressure, consistent with seasonal norms around 12°C. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 8–10°C while elevating the modest probabilities for 5°C or below versus 15°C or higher. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under minimal cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-model shifts in steering flow that could introduce warmer advection or enhanced mixing. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will clarify whether the minimum settles in the single digits or trends higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan