Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 25?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 25?
28°C 28%
29°C 27%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
23%
28°C
28%
29°C
27%
30°C or higher
19%
28°C 28%
29°C 27%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$7 Vol.
4%
24°C
$7 Vol.
3%
25°C
$250 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$299Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$299Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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