Recent rainfall patterns across Chongqing, including widespread small to moderate precipitation and localized heavy downpours through September 22–23, have introduced substantial uncertainty into temperature forecasts for the 24th. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from saturated soils are suppressing daytime maxima, while model runs diverge on the timing of any clearing that could allow stronger solar heating. Historical September averages near 28–29 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the mid-20s °C, with the near-even market-implied odds between 31 °C or higher and 21 °C or below reflecting genuine variability in steering patterns and moisture transport over the next 48 hours. Updated numerical guidance and official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory briefings will be key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 24?
31°C or higher 50%
21°C or below 35%
25°C 25%
27°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
35%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
15%
25°C
25%
26°C
24%
27°C
25%
28°C
12%
29°C
21%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
50%
31°C or higher 50%
21°C or below 35%
25°C 25%
27°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
35%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$17 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$23 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall patterns across Chongqing, including widespread small to moderate precipitation and localized heavy downpours through September 22–23, have introduced substantial uncertainty into temperature forecasts for the 24th. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from saturated soils are suppressing daytime maxima, while model runs diverge on the timing of any clearing that could allow stronger solar heating. Historical September averages near 28–29 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the mid-20s °C, with the near-even market-implied odds between 31 °C or higher and 21 °C or below reflecting genuine variability in steering patterns and moisture transport over the next 48 hours. Updated numerical guidance and official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory briefings will be key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$39Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall patterns across Chongqing, including widespread small to moderate precipitation and localized heavy downpours through September 22–23, have introduced substantial uncertainty into temperature forecasts for the 24th. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from saturated soils are suppressing daytime maxima, while model runs diverge on the timing of any clearing that could allow stronger solar heating. Historical September averages near 28–29 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the mid-20s °C, with the near-even market-implied odds between 31 °C or higher and 21 °C or below reflecting genuine variability in steering patterns and moisture transport over the next 48 hours. Updated numerical guidance and official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory briefings will be key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall patterns across Chongqing, including widespread small to moderate precipitation and localized heavy downpours through September 22–23, have introduced substantial uncertainty into temperature forecasts for the 24th. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from saturated soils are suppressing daytime maxima, while model runs diverge on the timing of any clearing that could allow stronger solar heating. Historical September averages near 28–29 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the mid-20s °C, with the near-even market-implied odds between 31 °C or higher and 21 °C or below reflecting genuine variability in steering patterns and moisture transport over the next 48 hours. Updated numerical guidance and official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory briefings will be key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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