Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a settled high-pressure regime with light southerly winds and sunny spells, supporting a maximum temperature of 23°C on September 24. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes at 22°C (50%) and 23°C (33.5%), reflecting model consensus from runs emphasizing minimal cloud cover and daytime radiative heating under autumnal conditions. Afternoon peaks near 22–23°C are consistent with current observations and climatological norms for late September, where highs typically range 18–21°C. Stable pressure gradients and low precipitation risk (under 5%) reduce upside potential for 24°C or higher, while overnight cooling limits downside deviation. Final readings from official stations will resolve the market within hours of peak heating.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on September 24?
22°C 50%
23°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
13%
22°C
50%
23°C
34%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
13%
22°C
50%
23°C
34%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a settled high-pressure regime with light southerly winds and sunny spells, supporting a maximum temperature of 23°C on September 24. This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes at 22°C (50%) and 23°C (33.5%), reflecting model consensus from runs emphasizing minimal cloud cover and daytime radiative heating under autumnal conditions. Afternoon peaks near 22–23°C are consistent with current observations and climatological norms for late September, where highs typically range 18–21°C. Stable pressure gradients and low precipitation risk (under 5%) reduce upside potential for 24°C or higher, while overnight cooling limits downside deviation. Final readings from official stations will resolve the market within hours of peak heating.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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