Singapore's National Environment Agency outlook for the first half of August 2026 highlights drier southwest monsoon conditions favoring daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C on most days, with fair and occasionally windy weather. This aligns with historical August averages near 31°C but reflects reduced cloud cover and rainfall that can allow stronger daytime heating in the equatorial climate. The specific August 13 forecast indicates 34°C highs alongside afternoon thundery showers, which may cap peaks through evaporative cooling and increased humidity. Market-implied odds clustering on 32–33°C incorporate these factors plus typical model variability in short-range tropical forecasts, where small shifts in timing or intensity of convection can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated NEA and numerical model guidance through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Singapore on August 13?
32°C 46%
33°C 24%
31°C 12%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
46%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 46%
33°C 24%
31°C 12%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
46%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's National Environment Agency outlook for the first half of August 2026 highlights drier southwest monsoon conditions favoring daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C on most days, with fair and occasionally windy weather. This aligns with historical August averages near 31°C but reflects reduced cloud cover and rainfall that can allow stronger daytime heating in the equatorial climate. The specific August 13 forecast indicates 34°C highs alongside afternoon thundery showers, which may cap peaks through evaporative cooling and increased humidity. Market-implied odds clustering on 32–33°C incorporate these factors plus typical model variability in short-range tropical forecasts, where small shifts in timing or intensity of convection can alter observed maxima by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated NEA and numerical model guidance through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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