Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13 amid cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. Marine influences and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 29–31°C highs, where sea breezes and humidity often cap extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C thresholds before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 13?
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
32°C 21%
29°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
33%
31°C
31%
32°C
21%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
32°C 21%
29°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
27°C
$21 Vol.
1%
28°C
$327 Vol.
4%
29°C
$121 Vol.
12%
30°C
$83 Vol.
33%
31°C
$72 Vol.
31%
32°C
$18 Vol.
21%
33°C
$139 Vol.
5%
34°C
$37 Vol.
4%
35°C
$32 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13 amid cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. Marine influences and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 29–31°C highs, where sea breezes and humidity often cap extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$881Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13 amid cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. Marine influences and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 29–31°C highs, where sea breezes and humidity often cap extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$881Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Qingdao on August 13 amid cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. Marine influences and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. This aligns with typical early-August climatology of 29–31°C highs, where sea breezes and humidity often cap extremes. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C thresholds before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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