Forecast uncertainty for Tokyo’s August 14 maximum centers on expected cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating and keep official readings clustered near 27–29 °C. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range around these values, with precipitation probabilities of 30–40 % during peak heating hours reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 30 °C or higher. Seasonal context of above-normal Pacific high pressure supports overall warmth, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors overcast conditions that compress outcomes. Traders therefore weight the 27–29 °C band most heavily, awaiting updated model runs and JMA bulletins that will clarify whether any breaks in cloud cover materialize before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 14?
29°C 28%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
23%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$285 Vol.
4%
26°C
$34 Vol.
7%
27°C
$110 Vol.
22%
28°C
$207 Vol.
23%
29°C
$89 Vol.
28%
30°C
$30 Vol.
10%
31°C
$17 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Tokyo’s August 14 maximum centers on expected cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating and keep official readings clustered near 27–29 °C. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range around these values, with precipitation probabilities of 30–40 % during peak heating hours reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 30 °C or higher. Seasonal context of above-normal Pacific high pressure supports overall warmth, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors overcast conditions that compress outcomes. Traders therefore weight the 27–29 °C band most heavily, awaiting updated model runs and JMA bulletins that will clarify whether any breaks in cloud cover materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,511Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Tokyo’s August 14 maximum centers on expected cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating and keep official readings clustered near 27–29 °C. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range around these values, with precipitation probabilities of 30–40 % during peak heating hours reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 30 °C or higher. Seasonal context of above-normal Pacific high pressure supports overall warmth, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors overcast conditions that compress outcomes. Traders therefore weight the 27–29 °C band most heavily, awaiting updated model runs and JMA bulletins that will clarify whether any breaks in cloud cover materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,511Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Tokyo’s August 14 maximum centers on expected cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit daytime heating and keep official readings clustered near 27–29 °C. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range around these values, with precipitation probabilities of 30–40 % during peak heating hours reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 30 °C or higher. Seasonal context of above-normal Pacific high pressure supports overall warmth, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors overcast conditions that compress outcomes. Traders therefore weight the 27–29 °C band most heavily, awaiting updated model runs and JMA bulletins that will clarify whether any breaks in cloud cover materialize before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan