Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate London will see sunny intervals on August 15 amid the tail end of a prolonged summer heatwave, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28°C. High pressure has maintained above-average warmth across southern England, but a gradual moderation from mid-week peaks near 35°C is expected as Atlantic influences introduce slightly more cloud and variable winds. Ensemble spreads and historical August variability around the 1991-2020 baseline of roughly 22°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 26°C and 28°C, with limited probability assigned to extremes given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 15?
Highest temperature in London on August 15?
26°C 29%
27°C 22%
25°C 19%
28°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
29%
27°C
22%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
27°C 22%
25°C 19%
28°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$368 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$22 Vol.
1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
2%
23°C
$64 Vol.
2%
24°C
$169 Vol.
8%
25°C
$140 Vol.
19%
26°C
$241 Vol.
29%
27°C
$109 Vol.
22%
28°C
$250 Vol.
12%
29°C
$185 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$280 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate London will see sunny intervals on August 15 amid the tail end of a prolonged summer heatwave, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28°C. High pressure has maintained above-average warmth across southern England, but a gradual moderation from mid-week peaks near 35°C is expected as Atlantic influences introduce slightly more cloud and variable winds. Ensemble spreads and historical August variability around the 1991-2020 baseline of roughly 22°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 26°C and 28°C, with limited probability assigned to extremes given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,857Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate London will see sunny intervals on August 15 amid the tail end of a prolonged summer heatwave, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28°C. High pressure has maintained above-average warmth across southern England, but a gradual moderation from mid-week peaks near 35°C is expected as Atlantic influences introduce slightly more cloud and variable winds. Ensemble spreads and historical August variability around the 1991-2020 baseline of roughly 22°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 26°C and 28°C, with limited probability assigned to extremes given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,857Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate London will see sunny intervals on August 15 amid the tail end of a prolonged summer heatwave, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28°C. High pressure has maintained above-average warmth across southern England, but a gradual moderation from mid-week peaks near 35°C is expected as Atlantic influences introduce slightly more cloud and variable winds. Ensemble spreads and historical August variability around the 1991-2020 baseline of roughly 22°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 26°C and 28°C, with limited probability assigned to extremes given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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