Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles, keeping the August 14 peak in the mid-70s according to the latest National Weather Service and model guidance. Typical August marine stratus and sea-breeze circulation suppress inland heating, with historical downtown and airport observations rarely exceeding 80°F under similar synoptic patterns. The tight market split between 76–77°F (41.5%) and 74–75°F (36.5%) reflects uncertainty in the precise strength of the onshore gradient and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two of warming. Weak upper-level ridging supports modest daytime heating, but no heat-wave conditions are forecast, aligning with climatological baselines near 78–82°F for the period. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will clarify whether the high settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 10%
72-73°F 7%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 10%
72-73°F 7%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles, keeping the August 14 peak in the mid-70s according to the latest National Weather Service and model guidance. Typical August marine stratus and sea-breeze circulation suppress inland heating, with historical downtown and airport observations rarely exceeding 80°F under similar synoptic patterns. The tight market split between 76–77°F (41.5%) and 74–75°F (36.5%) reflects uncertainty in the precise strength of the onshore gradient and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two of warming. Weak upper-level ridging supports modest daytime heating, but no heat-wave conditions are forecast, aligning with climatological baselines near 78–82°F for the period. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will clarify whether the high settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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