Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and European ensembles currently converge on a Houston high near 95°F for August 14, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins. Typical mid-August steering patterns and a persistent upper-level ridge maintain hot, humid conditions with dew points in the mid-70s, while sea-breeze convergence and isolated afternoon thunderstorms introduce uncertainty in peak timing and exact maximum. Minor model spread on cloud cover or storm initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2°F, explaining why lower or higher bins carry sharply reduced probabilities. Official observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market the following day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 14?
92-93°F 40%
94-95°F 38%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 40%
94-95°F 38%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$12 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$12 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$12 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$11 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$47 Vol.
12%
92-93°F
$359 Vol.
40%
94-95°F
$217 Vol.
38%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$7 Vol.
3%
100°F or higher
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and European ensembles currently converge on a Houston high near 95°F for August 14, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins. Typical mid-August steering patterns and a persistent upper-level ridge maintain hot, humid conditions with dew points in the mid-70s, while sea-breeze convergence and isolated afternoon thunderstorms introduce uncertainty in peak timing and exact maximum. Minor model spread on cloud cover or storm initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2°F, explaining why lower or higher bins carry sharply reduced probabilities. Official observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$849Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and European ensembles currently converge on a Houston high near 95°F for August 14, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins. Typical mid-August steering patterns and a persistent upper-level ridge maintain hot, humid conditions with dew points in the mid-70s, while sea-breeze convergence and isolated afternoon thunderstorms introduce uncertainty in peak timing and exact maximum. Minor model spread on cloud cover or storm initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2°F, explaining why lower or higher bins carry sharply reduced probabilities. Official observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$849Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and European ensembles currently converge on a Houston high near 95°F for August 14, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins. Typical mid-August steering patterns and a persistent upper-level ridge maintain hot, humid conditions with dew points in the mid-70s, while sea-breeze convergence and isolated afternoon thunderstorms introduce uncertainty in peak timing and exact maximum. Minor model spread on cloud cover or storm initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2°F, explaining why lower or higher bins carry sharply reduced probabilities. Official observations from Houston Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market the following day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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