Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 14, consistent with the closely matched 32% market-implied odds on those outcomes. At the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, afternoon convection typical of the August rainy season often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and showers, while morning insolation drives the high. Minor differences among 24–27°C bins reflect uncertainty in exact rain timing, steering patterns, and model spread, with historical August averages near 24°C providing climatological context. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next-day observations will refine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 14?
25°C 33%
26°C 32%
24°C 23%
22°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C
23%
25°C
33%
26°C
32%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 33%
26°C 32%
24°C 23%
22°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C
23%
25°C
33%
26°C
32%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 14, consistent with the closely matched 32% market-implied odds on those outcomes. At the city’s 2,240-meter elevation, afternoon convection typical of the August rainy season often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and showers, while morning insolation drives the high. Minor differences among 24–27°C bins reflect uncertainty in exact rain timing, steering patterns, and model spread, with historical August averages near 24°C providing climatological context. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and next-day observations will refine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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