Recent ensemble forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate converge on a daytime maximum near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 17, consistent with the city’s long-term August average high under subtropical monsoon conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, as heavier rainfall could suppress temperatures while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 34%, capture this narrow range amid typical humidity above 75% that elevates perceived heat without altering official maximums. New observational data and updated model runs tomorrow will determine the precise outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
33°C 36%
32°C 26%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
26%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
32°C 26%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$6 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6 Vol.
1%
29°C
$158 Vol.
1%
30°C
$102 Vol.
3%
31°C
$137 Vol.
8%
32°C
$38 Vol.
26%
33°C
$227 Vol.
36%
34°C
$36 Vol.
21%
35°C
$196 Vol.
6%
36°C
$569 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$244 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate converge on a daytime maximum near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 17, consistent with the city’s long-term August average high under subtropical monsoon conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, as heavier rainfall could suppress temperatures while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 34%, capture this narrow range amid typical humidity above 75% that elevates perceived heat without altering official maximums. New observational data and updated model runs tomorrow will determine the precise outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,719Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate converge on a daytime maximum near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 17, consistent with the city’s long-term August average high under subtropical monsoon conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, as heavier rainfall could suppress temperatures while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 34%, capture this narrow range amid typical humidity above 75% that elevates perceived heat without altering official maximums. New observational data and updated model runs tomorrow will determine the precise outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,719Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from sources like the UK Met Office and timeanddate converge on a daytime maximum near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 17, consistent with the city’s long-term August average high under subtropical monsoon conditions. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, as heavier rainfall could suppress temperatures while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 34%, capture this narrow range amid typical humidity above 75% that elevates perceived heat without altering official maximums. New observational data and updated model runs tomorrow will determine the precise outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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