Current forecasts from ensemble models position Istanbul's August 17 daily maximum near 26–28°C, aligning with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 27–29°C. Stable high-pressure patterns, northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph, and moderating sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus limit daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This setup explains the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as traders incorporate model spreads and historical variability from cloud cover or wind shifts. No major heatwave or frontal systems are indicated in recent guidance, keeping probabilities for extremes below 3%. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
26°C 54%
27°C 29%
25°C 9%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
54%
27°C
29%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 54%
27°C 29%
25°C 9%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
$254 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$54 Vol.
1%
23°C
$80 Vol.
1%
24°C
$45 Vol.
3%
25°C
$24 Vol.
9%
26°C
$180 Vol.
54%
27°C
$157 Vol.
29%
28°C
$114 Vol.
7%
29°C
$108 Vol.
3%
30°C
$295 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$347 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ensemble models position Istanbul's August 17 daily maximum near 26–28°C, aligning with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 27–29°C. Stable high-pressure patterns, northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph, and moderating sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus limit daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This setup explains the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as traders incorporate model spreads and historical variability from cloud cover or wind shifts. No major heatwave or frontal systems are indicated in recent guidance, keeping probabilities for extremes below 3%. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,658Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ensemble models position Istanbul's August 17 daily maximum near 26–28°C, aligning with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 27–29°C. Stable high-pressure patterns, northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph, and moderating sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus limit daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This setup explains the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as traders incorporate model spreads and historical variability from cloud cover or wind shifts. No major heatwave or frontal systems are indicated in recent guidance, keeping probabilities for extremes below 3%. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,658Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from ensemble models position Istanbul's August 17 daily maximum near 26–28°C, aligning with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 27–29°C. Stable high-pressure patterns, northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph, and moderating sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus limit daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This setup explains the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as traders incorporate model spreads and historical variability from cloud cover or wind shifts. No major heatwave or frontal systems are indicated in recent guidance, keeping probabilities for extremes below 3%. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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