Trader sentiment centers on modest warming expected for August 17 under partly cloudy conditions influenced by a weakening high-pressure ridge over the southwest Cape. Ensemble forecasts from global models show daytime maxima clustering near 18–20 °C, with small differences arising from wind direction shifts between northwesterly (milder, maritime air) and more southerly flows, plus variable low-level cloud that modulates solar heating. Historical August averages hover around 17 °C, but recent post-frontal stabilization has lifted baseline readings slightly. Resolution hinges on the official South African Weather Service maximum at the Cape Town station, where even a 1 °C model spread can separate the closely matched 19 °C and 20 °C contracts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 17?
19°C 39%
20°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 10%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
19%
19°C
39%
20°C
26%
21°C
10%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
20°C 26%
18°C 19%
21°C 10%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
19%
19°C
39%
20°C
26%
21°C
10%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on modest warming expected for August 17 under partly cloudy conditions influenced by a weakening high-pressure ridge over the southwest Cape. Ensemble forecasts from global models show daytime maxima clustering near 18–20 °C, with small differences arising from wind direction shifts between northwesterly (milder, maritime air) and more southerly flows, plus variable low-level cloud that modulates solar heating. Historical August averages hover around 17 °C, but recent post-frontal stabilization has lifted baseline readings slightly. Resolution hinges on the official South African Weather Service maximum at the Cape Town station, where even a 1 °C model spread can separate the closely matched 19 °C and 20 °C contracts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan