Trader sentiment for Chongqing's August 18 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts from regional models showing mid-30s Celsius highs amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity while the East Asian summer monsoon sustains elevated dew points, with urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley pushing peaks toward 34–36 °C. Thunderstorm development expected on the 18th could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum and explaining why 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes hold the largest implied probabilities. Model spread in timing and intensity of convection creates the observed tight clustering, with limited upside beyond 37 °C absent a stronger ridge. Updated CMA and global guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 18?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
37°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
31°C or below
9%
32°C
6%
33°C
8%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
20%
37°C
15%
38°C
9%
39°C
8%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
37°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
31°C or below
$37 Vol.
9%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C
$10 Vol.
8%
34°C
$25 Vol.
30%
35°C
$6 Vol.
35%
36°C
$7 Vol.
20%
37°C
$0 Vol.
15%
38°C
$62 Vol.
9%
39°C
$5 Vol.
8%
40°C
$5 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chongqing's August 18 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts from regional models showing mid-30s Celsius highs amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity while the East Asian summer monsoon sustains elevated dew points, with urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley pushing peaks toward 34–36 °C. Thunderstorm development expected on the 18th could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum and explaining why 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes hold the largest implied probabilities. Model spread in timing and intensity of convection creates the observed tight clustering, with limited upside beyond 37 °C absent a stronger ridge. Updated CMA and global guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$102Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chongqing's August 18 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts from regional models showing mid-30s Celsius highs amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity while the East Asian summer monsoon sustains elevated dew points, with urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley pushing peaks toward 34–36 °C. Thunderstorm development expected on the 18th could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum and explaining why 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes hold the largest implied probabilities. Model spread in timing and intensity of convection creates the observed tight clustering, with limited upside beyond 37 °C absent a stronger ridge. Updated CMA and global guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$102Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's August 18 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecasts from regional models showing mid-30s Celsius highs amid the city's subtropical monsoon climate. Surrounding mountains trap heat and humidity while the East Asian summer monsoon sustains elevated dew points, with urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley pushing peaks toward 34–36 °C. Thunderstorm development expected on the 18th could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping the daily maximum and explaining why 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes hold the largest implied probabilities. Model spread in timing and intensity of convection creates the observed tight clustering, with limited upside beyond 37 °C absent a stronger ridge. Updated CMA and global guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan