The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,021 Vol.
$45,021 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,021 Vol.
$45,021 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$728 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,016 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,412 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,985 Vol.
No
26°C
$12,027 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$8,410 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,934 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,566 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,073 Vol.
No
31°C
$430 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$442 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$45,021Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,021Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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