Recent KMA and ECMWF model runs place Busan’s August 20 maximum near 32–33 °C under a lingering warm, humid air mass typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. Ensemble spread and local factors—urban heat-island effects, variable sea-breeze timing, and possible thin cloud cover—create the narrow gap between those two outcomes that traders currently price most heavily. Historical August climatology for Busan shows daily highs averaging 29–31 °C with occasional 33 °C peaks, so the market-implied distribution aligns with both seasonal norms and the latest short-range guidance. Updated 48-hour forecasts and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind direction will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 20?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 20?
32°C 45%
33°C 34%
31°C 19%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
32%
33°C
34%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
5%
32°C 45%
33°C 34%
31°C 19%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$13 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
5%
30°C
$23 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$164 Vol.
32%
33°C
$28 Vol.
34%
34°C
$14 Vol.
11%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ECMWF model runs place Busan’s August 20 maximum near 32–33 °C under a lingering warm, humid air mass typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. Ensemble spread and local factors—urban heat-island effects, variable sea-breeze timing, and possible thin cloud cover—create the narrow gap between those two outcomes that traders currently price most heavily. Historical August climatology for Busan shows daily highs averaging 29–31 °C with occasional 33 °C peaks, so the market-implied distribution aligns with both seasonal norms and the latest short-range guidance. Updated 48-hour forecasts and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind direction will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$581Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ECMWF model runs place Busan’s August 20 maximum near 32–33 °C under a lingering warm, humid air mass typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. Ensemble spread and local factors—urban heat-island effects, variable sea-breeze timing, and possible thin cloud cover—create the narrow gap between those two outcomes that traders currently price most heavily. Historical August climatology for Busan shows daily highs averaging 29–31 °C with occasional 33 °C peaks, so the market-implied distribution aligns with both seasonal norms and the latest short-range guidance. Updated 48-hour forecasts and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind direction will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$581Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and ECMWF model runs place Busan’s August 20 maximum near 32–33 °C under a lingering warm, humid air mass typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. Ensemble spread and local factors—urban heat-island effects, variable sea-breeze timing, and possible thin cloud cover—create the narrow gap between those two outcomes that traders currently price most heavily. Historical August climatology for Busan shows daily highs averaging 29–31 °C with occasional 33 °C peaks, so the market-implied distribution aligns with both seasonal norms and the latest short-range guidance. Updated 48-hour forecasts and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind direction will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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