**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C as the most probable range for Karachi’s maximum temperature on August 20, 2026, reflecting stable late-monsoon conditions and model agreement.** Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather project a daytime high near 31°C, consistent with climatological averages for mid-to-late August when highs typically reach 30–32°C amid high humidity and sea-breeze moderation. Recent observations (around 31°C on August 17–18) and short-range guidance show no significant heatwave or cooling influence from stronger monsoon flows or cloud cover changes. The 59% implied probability on 32°C captures this baseline expectation, while the 24% on 33°C accounts for minor upward variability possible with reduced cloudiness or lighter winds; the 18% on 31°C reflects the lower end of ensemble spreads. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market anchored near historical norms for the period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on August 20?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 20?
32°C 49%
33°C 22%
31°C 19%
34°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
57%
33°C
22%
34°C
9%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 49%
33°C 22%
31°C 19%
34°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
$142 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$28 Vol.
1%
29°C
$36 Vol.
3%
30°C
$41 Vol.
4%
31°C
$26 Vol.
19%
32°C
$435 Vol.
57%
33°C
$31 Vol.
22%
34°C
$8 Vol.
9%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$301 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C as the most probable range for Karachi’s maximum temperature on August 20, 2026, reflecting stable late-monsoon conditions and model agreement.**
Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather project a daytime high near 31°C, consistent with climatological averages for mid-to-late August when highs typically reach 30–32°C amid high humidity and sea-breeze moderation. Recent observations (around 31°C on August 17–18) and short-range guidance show no significant heatwave or cooling influence from stronger monsoon flows or cloud cover changes. The 59% implied probability on 32°C captures this baseline expectation, while the 24% on 33°C accounts for minor upward variability possible with reduced cloudiness or lighter winds; the 18% on 31°C reflects the lower end of ensemble spreads. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market anchored near historical norms for the period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,049Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C as the most probable range for Karachi’s maximum temperature on August 20, 2026, reflecting stable late-monsoon conditions and model agreement.**
Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather project a daytime high near 31°C, consistent with climatological averages for mid-to-late August when highs typically reach 30–32°C amid high humidity and sea-breeze moderation. Recent observations (around 31°C on August 17–18) and short-range guidance show no significant heatwave or cooling influence from stronger monsoon flows or cloud cover changes. The 59% implied probability on 32°C captures this baseline expectation, while the 24% on 33°C accounts for minor upward variability possible with reduced cloudiness or lighter winds; the 18% on 31°C reflects the lower end of ensemble spreads. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market anchored near historical norms for the period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,049Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C as the most probable range for Karachi’s maximum temperature on August 20, 2026, reflecting stable late-monsoon conditions and model agreement.** Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather project a daytime high near 31°C, consistent with climatological averages for mid-to-late August when highs typically reach 30–32°C amid high humidity and sea-breeze moderation. Recent observations (around 31°C on August 17–18) and short-range guidance show no significant heatwave or cooling influence from stronger monsoon flows or cloud cover changes. The 59% implied probability on 32°C captures this baseline expectation, while the 24% on 33°C accounts for minor upward variability possible with reduced cloudiness or lighter winds; the 18% on 31°C reflects the lower end of ensemble spreads. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market anchored near historical norms for the period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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