Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave (peaking near 38°C around August 13) has positioned 23–25°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s maximum temperature on August 19. Extended forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 24°C under increasing cloud cover and possible light sprinkles, consistent with Atlantic-driven moderation and typical late-summer variability. Model consensus and historical August averages (24–25°C) support this range, while uncertainty bands of roughly ±1–2°C explain the market’s probability distribution favoring the lower-to-mid 20s over extremes. Upcoming updated model runs and Météo-France guidance ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 19?
23°C 34%
24°C 28%
22°C 14%
25°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
34%
24°C
28%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 28%
22°C 14%
25°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
19°C or below
$13 Vol.
1%
20°C
$109 Vol.
3%
21°C
$187 Vol.
4%
22°C
$343 Vol.
14%
23°C
$400 Vol.
34%
24°C
$224 Vol.
28%
25°C
$162 Vol.
13%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$128 Vol.
2%
28°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave (peaking near 38°C around August 13) has positioned 23–25°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s maximum temperature on August 19. Extended forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 24°C under increasing cloud cover and possible light sprinkles, consistent with Atlantic-driven moderation and typical late-summer variability. Model consensus and historical August averages (24–25°C) support this range, while uncertainty bands of roughly ±1–2°C explain the market’s probability distribution favoring the lower-to-mid 20s over extremes. Upcoming updated model runs and Météo-France guidance ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,863Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave (peaking near 38°C around August 13) has positioned 23–25°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s maximum temperature on August 19. Extended forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 24°C under increasing cloud cover and possible light sprinkles, consistent with Atlantic-driven moderation and typical late-summer variability. Model consensus and historical August averages (24–25°C) support this range, while uncertainty bands of roughly ±1–2°C explain the market’s probability distribution favoring the lower-to-mid 20s over extremes. Upcoming updated model runs and Météo-France guidance ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,863Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after a mid-August heatwave (peaking near 38°C around August 13) has positioned 23–25°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s maximum temperature on August 19. Extended forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a high near 24°C under increasing cloud cover and possible light sprinkles, consistent with Atlantic-driven moderation and typical late-summer variability. Model consensus and historical August averages (24–25°C) support this range, while uncertainty bands of roughly ±1–2°C explain the market’s probability distribution favoring the lower-to-mid 20s over extremes. Upcoming updated model runs and Météo-France guidance ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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