Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Paris on August 18 shows 18°C leading at 40% implied probability, closely trailed by 17°C at 31%, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out. European model ensembles indicate the outcome hinges on overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer wind shifts, and any weak frontal passage that could alter radiational cooling rates under typical August humidity levels. Surface observations and Météo-France guidance highlight how urban heat retention in the city center may keep minima near the upper end of the 16–19°C cluster, while clearer skies would favor the lower tail. New model runs and station data expected over the next day will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
18°C 42%
17°C 31%
19°C 23%
16°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
7%
16°C
12%
17°C
31%
18°C
42%
19°C
23%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 42%
17°C 31%
19°C 23%
16°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
12%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
42%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
4%
24°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$394 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Paris on August 18 shows 18°C leading at 40% implied probability, closely trailed by 17°C at 31%, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out. European model ensembles indicate the outcome hinges on overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer wind shifts, and any weak frontal passage that could alter radiational cooling rates under typical August humidity levels. Surface observations and Météo-France guidance highlight how urban heat retention in the city center may keep minima near the upper end of the 16–19°C cluster, while clearer skies would favor the lower tail. New model runs and station data expected over the next day will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$808Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Paris on August 18 shows 18°C leading at 40% implied probability, closely trailed by 17°C at 31%, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out. European model ensembles indicate the outcome hinges on overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer wind shifts, and any weak frontal passage that could alter radiational cooling rates under typical August humidity levels. Surface observations and Météo-France guidance highlight how urban heat retention in the city center may keep minima near the upper end of the 16–19°C cluster, while clearer skies would favor the lower tail. New model runs and station data expected over the next day will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$808Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Paris on August 18 shows 18°C leading at 40% implied probability, closely trailed by 17°C at 31%, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out. European model ensembles indicate the outcome hinges on overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer wind shifts, and any weak frontal passage that could alter radiational cooling rates under typical August humidity levels. Surface observations and Météo-France guidance highlight how urban heat retention in the city center may keep minima near the upper end of the 16–19°C cluster, while clearer skies would favor the lower tail. New model runs and station data expected over the next day will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan