Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models, including BBC guidance, converge on a daily maximum near 28–29 °C for Paris on August 17 under stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits further warming after the mid-month heatwave peaked at 36–38 °C. This setup follows typical late-summer moderation patterns, with reduced radiative heating and minimal moisture for convective enhancement. The 61 % market-implied probability on 29 °C and 27.5 % on 28 °C reflect traders’ assessment of this consensus range, while lower odds on 30 °C or above account for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Final resolution depends on 24-hour observational data from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 17?
29°C 61%
28°C 29%
30°C 8%
27°C 5%
BARU
$21,993 Vol.
BARU
$21,993 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
29%
29°C
61%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 61%
28°C 29%
30°C 8%
27°C 5%
BARU
$21,993 Vol.
BARU
$21,993 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$334 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$519 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,208 Vol.
5%
28°C
$3,820 Vol.
29%
29°C
$6,962 Vol.
61%
30°C
$2,185 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,529 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,921 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$813 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models, including BBC guidance, converge on a daily maximum near 28–29 °C for Paris on August 17 under stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits further warming after the mid-month heatwave peaked at 36–38 °C. This setup follows typical late-summer moderation patterns, with reduced radiative heating and minimal moisture for convective enhancement. The 61 % market-implied probability on 29 °C and 27.5 % on 28 °C reflect traders’ assessment of this consensus range, while lower odds on 30 °C or above account for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Final resolution depends on 24-hour observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,993Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models, including BBC guidance, converge on a daily maximum near 28–29 °C for Paris on August 17 under stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits further warming after the mid-month heatwave peaked at 36–38 °C. This setup follows typical late-summer moderation patterns, with reduced radiative heating and minimal moisture for convective enhancement. The 61 % market-implied probability on 29 °C and 27.5 % on 28 °C reflect traders’ assessment of this consensus range, while lower odds on 30 °C or above account for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Final resolution depends on 24-hour observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,993Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models, including BBC guidance, converge on a daily maximum near 28–29 °C for Paris on August 17 under stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that limits further warming after the mid-month heatwave peaked at 36–38 °C. This setup follows typical late-summer moderation patterns, with reduced radiative heating and minimal moisture for convective enhancement. The 61 % market-implied probability on 29 °C and 27.5 % on 28 °C reflect traders’ assessment of this consensus range, while lower odds on 30 °C or above account for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Final resolution depends on 24-hour observational data from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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