Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models show a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 17, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Summer conditions in the region feature high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with daily ranges consistently projected at 28–33°C. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August and recent seasonal guidance indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Traders assign overwhelming probability here because verified observational networks and short-range models converge tightly on this threshold. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized thunderstorm activity could allow slightly greater cooling and push the low below 28°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given current steering patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$57,885 Vol.
$57,885 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$57,885 Vol.
$57,885 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$503 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,056 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,802 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,804 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$18,107 Vol.
100%
29°C
$7,953 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,611 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models show a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 17, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Summer conditions in the region feature high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with daily ranges consistently projected at 28–33°C. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August and recent seasonal guidance indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Traders assign overwhelming probability here because verified observational networks and short-range models converge tightly on this threshold. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized thunderstorm activity could allow slightly greater cooling and push the low below 28°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$57,885Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models show a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 17, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Summer conditions in the region feature high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with daily ranges consistently projected at 28–33°C. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August and recent seasonal guidance indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Traders assign overwhelming probability here because verified observational networks and short-range models converge tightly on this threshold. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized thunderstorm activity could allow slightly greater cooling and push the low below 28°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,885Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models show a minimum temperature of 28°C for August 17, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Summer conditions in the region feature high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with daily ranges consistently projected at 28–33°C. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August and recent seasonal guidance indicating normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Traders assign overwhelming probability here because verified observational networks and short-range models converge tightly on this threshold. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized thunderstorm activity could allow slightly greater cooling and push the low below 28°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given current steering patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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