Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 19 peak temperature in the upper 20s °C, with 27–28 °C outcomes commanding the highest market shares at 34 % and 31.5 %. Subtle differences among leading probabilities stem from model spread on maximum timing, sea-breeze onset from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban-heat-island effects at official stations. Typical late-summer synoptic setup—subtropical high pressure, light northerly flow, and stable boundary-layer conditions—supports modest day-to-day variability around the 27–29 °C climatological range, while ongoing model runs and local observations through the 18th will refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 19?
27°C 33%
28°C 32%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
33%
28°C
32%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 33%
28°C 32%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$104 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$24 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,270 Vol.
33%
28°C
$95 Vol.
32%
29°C
$41 Vol.
14%
30°C
$21 Vol.
6%
31°C
$5 Vol.
4%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 19 peak temperature in the upper 20s °C, with 27–28 °C outcomes commanding the highest market shares at 34 % and 31.5 %. Subtle differences among leading probabilities stem from model spread on maximum timing, sea-breeze onset from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban-heat-island effects at official stations. Typical late-summer synoptic setup—subtropical high pressure, light northerly flow, and stable boundary-layer conditions—supports modest day-to-day variability around the 27–29 °C climatological range, while ongoing model runs and local observations through the 18th will refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,585Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 19 peak temperature in the upper 20s °C, with 27–28 °C outcomes commanding the highest market shares at 34 % and 31.5 %. Subtle differences among leading probabilities stem from model spread on maximum timing, sea-breeze onset from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban-heat-island effects at official stations. Typical late-summer synoptic setup—subtropical high pressure, light northerly flow, and stable boundary-layer conditions—supports modest day-to-day variability around the 27–29 °C climatological range, while ongoing model runs and local observations through the 18th will refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,585Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 19 peak temperature in the upper 20s °C, with 27–28 °C outcomes commanding the highest market shares at 34 % and 31.5 %. Subtle differences among leading probabilities stem from model spread on maximum timing, sea-breeze onset from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban-heat-island effects at official stations. Typical late-summer synoptic setup—subtropical high pressure, light northerly flow, and stable boundary-layer conditions—supports modest day-to-day variability around the 27–29 °C climatological range, while ongoing model runs and local observations through the 18th will refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan